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No this is what the corporate world does to you.

There's a brief period when you join any company where you really want to improve things, and then about a year in the system has asserted towards the mean.

Nothing to do with schooling, every thing to do with business structures.


Also how many predictions did they make? Everyone always goes looking the economist who predicted the last recession, it's just so weird how it's usually a different person each time!

I spend a lot of time on the Internet and other then sounding vaguely familiar I have no idea who Yudkowsky is and have never read any of their output.

The assumption "spent a lot of time on the Internet" is still through a framing you're assuming is more general even then.

HackerNews straight up has sub demographics who likely barely interact based on article interests.


Wait really ? That's a huge change from last time I looked. How much did this setup cost you?

I kinda overdid it with a tape library (40 tapes capacity, LTO-9), but I'm using it for my company's AI model backups. _That_ setup was about $12k.

I had a smaller setup before, with a simple external LTO-5 drive. Used drives are now are about $300, and you can probably find them cheaper. And LTO-5 is the minimum realistic version, it's the first one that supports LTFS and it has reasonable tape capacity.


The Trump admin will be 2 years out of office by the time the Virginia deliveries are slated to start.

If America goes fully fascist by then, then the wisdom of that contract will be the least of our problems (or to put it another way: what's the alternative? Because if you're serious about the threat it's "crash course nuclear weapons and a delivery vehicle" if you want to guarantee our sovereignty).


The problem with deciding you're so powerful you can force everyone to follow you is you actually have to force everyone to follow you and it turns out that's super expensive and costs you a lot of power in terms of committed assets to do it.

Which is exactly the sensible plan.

I want a government which does the cost effective thing, not one which tries to make statements with bold headlines.

I want boring government policy which sensibly hedges against future risk in correct appreciation of our unbelievably fortunate geopolitical luck.


In a Gulf State 300 miles is still within ballistic missile range and any belligerent is going to target both places if at all.

Strictly speaking from a missile defense perspective there's an argument 2 sites are a waste of valuable interceptors.


They're likely going to target two datacenters, not the datacenters + your medium sized company's office NAS and the safe in the office manager's home.

(Encryption handles confidentiality concerns.)


> (Encryption handles confidentiality concerns.)

Which is why data residency is such a stupid concept.


Yes and no. For example if you are doing Azure, technically Azure can see tenant traffic I believe and you need to use both a Platform Key and CMK for data rest. VMs need encryption at host turned on too.

There is nothing to say that a determined adversary may still get at your data so it needs to stay in country.


Yeah same with AWS - they say they can't see my custom KMS key but... this stuff all lives on their servers, not on my servers. AWS definitely have the ability to see my KMS keys and decrypt my data but I assume that they won't unless a judge tells them to.

The food is in the uncanny valley because no human was involved in assembling the output.

We've got millions of years of evolutionary wiring in our heads to try and figure out if something can be eaten - take that out of the process and you can screw up in a bunch of ways which raise alarm bells.


Ancient cave dwellers wandering the steppes, carefully distinguishing potable lattes from poisonous varieties of herbal tea.

Did they know they were doing an expensive AI image detection training run.

Milk aside, lattes and tea aren't modern enough for this attempt at sarcasm to land.

It also wouldn't work. The US has refineries which can only run on various foreign import grades of oil.

The US produces oil which goes to foreign refineries for the same reason.

The effect of "banning exports" is non obvious.

Conversely not starting a war with Iran had some really obvious benefits that every previous administration recognized.


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